United States Sec. of State Rubio: Iran is in a lot of trouble

Following his meeting with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Manila on Wednesday, United States (US) Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that “Iran is in a lot of trouble.”

Additional quotes

Nothing China has done has changed the trajectory of the conflict with Iran.

In fact, in some cases China has been cooperative on the Iran situation.

Would love to reach a diplomatic settlement with Iran.

China and the US have differences but the job is to manage that.

There are areas of potential cooperation.

Disagree with China's activities on Taiwan.

Discussed trade among other things.

Middle East risks keep Brent elevated as Saudi flows face fresh disruption

Analysts at Rabobank warn that Middle East supply routes remain highly fragile, with “Hormuz remains on a knife-edge, with most flows halted save those taking the Iranian route.” They highlight that the situation has deteriorated further after “two tankers carrying Saudi crude made U-turns in the Red Sea after a Houthi warning,” describing this as “the first sign of the threatened blockade of Saudi ports.” Against this backdrop, Rabobank argues that the latest escalation will “not allow energy markets to ‘take the summer off’ rather than taking off,” noting that “we are at $91.5 on Brent at time of writing with crack spreads still round $70.”

US Dollar: Trade tariffs to reshape FX volatility – MUFG

Derek Halpenny at MUFG explains that US trade tariff uncertainty is set to re-emerge as Section 122 measures expire and are replaced by more targeted Section 301 actions.
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World Bank warns of risks of global slowdown, renewed inflation

The World Bank warned that the global economy is only "a few months" away from a worst-case scenario in which global growth slows to 1.3% while inflation rises to 4.5%, according to comments by Chief Economist Indermit Gill reported by Reuters.
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